Thursday, June 18, 2020

INDO PACIFIC SECURITY AND US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 2020

The United States will soon be engulfed in US Presidential Elections and campaign politics and it needs to be emphasised that the US political contenders adopt a bipartisan approach to the challenge of maintaining security and stability in the Indo Pacific Region.

Peace and stability in the Indo Pacific stands threatened by China on all its peripheries. China is also engaged in an unremitting US-China Trade War which prompts China to generate added turbulence in the region,

China can be expected to target US audiences by digital means to ensure that incumbent US President Trump is not elected for a second term as US President.

China's targeting of President Trump emerges from a visceral hatred of President Trump for his hard-line policies against China extending from Trade Wars to intensifying US Navy FONOPS in South China Sea and co-opting India as a major partners of United States in Indo Pacific security and the QUAD which existentially will apply brakes to China's unbridled aggression in South China Sea.

The main challenge to disturb or disrupt Indo Pacific security contextually would therefore emanate from China which could possibly attempt to exploit any political divisiveness that at times erupts in heated electioneering campaigns. 

China perceptively has already commenced the process by creating heated turbulence in the South China Sea and the Northern Borders of India with China Occupied Tibet.

In both of the above strategic locations, the United States in 2020 has legitimate security stakes by virtue of its commitments to East Asian security or the security of the Western Pacific wherein the United States is a 'Resident Power' by virtue of its security treaties.

India matters high in 2020 United States geopolitical calculus and relevant to United States strategic template for Indo Pacific Security. This is anathema for China which views this strategic development as upsetting the balance of power against China.

Both Republican Party and Democratic Party Presidents in the past have stood committed to the larger issue of South China Sea security as security of the "Global Commons' and with varying nuances challenged China's aggressive misadventures in this critical maritime expanse.

Similarly, India has received bipartisan support of Republican and Democratic Party Presidents in terms of building up India as a Major Global Player and pivotal partner of United States in contributing towards Indo Pacific Security.

Contextually, therefore, in the coming US Presidential Elections campaigns South China Sea security and India's pivotal significance as the Free World's existential counterweight against China need to be politically be respected by both US political parties.

Concluding, it needs to be highlighted that China will attempt an intrusive digital influencing strategy in coming US Presidential Elections. China will make an all-out effort to sway election results away from President Trump's bid for a second term.

China in mid-2020 has emerged as a potent threat to United States security and the security of its Allies and Strategic Partners.  The China Threat to United States is even more than the Former Soviet Union was ever was.

The United States at all levels has to be therefore be vigilant to China's interference in US domestic policies in the run-up to Presidential Elections 2020.



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