CHINA'S MEDDLING IN UNITED STATES PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2024 AGAINST HIM CONFIRMED BY PRESIDENT BIDEN: MY PREDICTION MARCH 09, 2924, VINDICATED

 Predicted in my article of March 09, 2024 "China Reverses its Preferences in United States Presidential Elections 2024" was that China would go all out to get President Joe Biden defeated in forthcoming elections by use of Influence Operations/Hybrid Warfare.

The prediction made now stands vindicated with President Biden in recent interview with Editor-in-Chief, TIMES Newsmagazine, carried in latest June issue, quoted as asserting that "The meddling is now visible". TIMES also reported that White House officials were concerned and monitoring the Chinese trend.

Hammered in my writings for over two decades was a singular reality that the United States, so well versed in 'realpolitiks', should recognize that Communist China is an inveterate enemy of the United States. 

The United States consciously ignored such reality checks on China and wasted the first quarter of this Century in molly-coddling China in the vain hope that Chia could be regained as a strategic asset against Russia.

In this quarter of a century, flawed US policies facilitated China's un-checkmated exponential expansion of its Armed Forces and China's propensity to use "Force" against its neighbors from India's Himalayan Borders with China Occupied Tibet to South China Sea and US Allies in the Pacific.

The belated process of checkmating China was initiated by President Trump and followed up more assiduously by President Biden.

As highlighted by me in my March 09,2024 post was that in the forthcoming US presidential elections the choice facing China was in choosing between "Two Devils", the characteristic portrayal of all demonized US Presidents. 

China seems to have opted for the 'Lesser Devil' in its revised assessment of President Trump if he is successful in his re-election bid in 2024.

China's famous "Swing Strategy" which earlier oscillated between United States and Former Soviet Union now extends to 'Switching Preferences" in US presidential elections.

China seemingly fails to realize that in 2024, the widely held perception within US policy establishment and public opinion is that China is intent on undermining United States global predominance.

With the above bipartisan mood in the United States could President Trump, if he wins the election, soften US 'Hard Line' stances against China? Seems unlikely.

Finally, with geopolitics stacked against China currently, China can be expected to intensify its "meddling in US presidential elections against President Biden" to reach an all-time high. 

CHINA'S GLOBAL DISRUPTIVE STRATEGIES 2024 MERITS IMPOSING COSTS BY UNITED STATES, EUROPE & INDO PACIFIC POWERSS

Conspicuously standing out in 2024 is Communist China's disruptive strategies spanning Europe, Middle East and Indo Pacific. The picture emerges more sinister when in its diabolical strategies, China has now prevailed over Russia to join its disruptive strategies due Russian strategic compulsions post-Ukraine War.

China has thus far managed to continue unimpeded in destabilizing all these strategically vital regions largely due to political permissiveness of United States and Europe.

United States adopted misperceived and ill-advised strategies on China clouded by its obsession to play the China Card against Russia. Lucrative China markets for US hi-tech business giants was an irresistible attraction.  

Major European countries--France, UK, and Germany specially crafted their permissive policies on China solely determined by the vast Chuna market.

In 2024, it has finally dawned on United States, Europe and Indo Pacific Powers that China was not a 'benign power' which could contribute to global and regional stability. China is now perceived as a 'disruptive power'   duplicitously intent on undermining the security interests of United States, NATO and US Allies/Strategic Partners.

In 2024, when China and the Russia-China Axis, rightly now to be read as China-Russia Axis figures as topmost threat perception amongst all these Powers the vexing challenge is as to how 'short of war' can the China Threat be neutralized.

United States, Europe, and Indo Pacific Powers now need to impose heavy costs on Communist China where it hurts China the most.

Communist China must be denied access to all the markets in United States, Europe. Japan, India and Australia. China's unrestricted access to 'Free World's' markets not only made China's economic boom but also provided vast funds for China's exponential expansion of its armed forces and its aggression.

China needs to be denied access to 'Advanced & High Technologies' of United States and the West. Chinese industrial espionage should be swiftly and heavily punished.

China needs to be 'diplomatically isolated' at all international forums. United States should set an example in this direction by not even giving the faintest semblance of China Appeasement, China Hedging and Risk Aversion.

China's genocide in Occupied Tibet and Occupied Sinkiang should now be vocally pursued in world's capitals to show up the 'Darker Deeds' of China against Occupied Territories. United States has done well to pass a Congressional Bill on Tibet's self-determination.

Only the barest of diplomatic protocol be maintained with China. This applies pointedly to India also where Indian trade with China is heavily lopsided in favor of China. 

The shortest way to end the Ukraine War in which China is heavily involved in "Sustaining & Prolonging" Russia's Invasion of Ukraine by arms, military equipment and buying Russian oil, is to impose "Heavy Costs" on China's involvement.

Russia without Chinese war-waging sustenance would end up with inability to wage war in Ukraine and lead possibly to an unconditional Russian exit from Ukraine.

United States and its Allies, if they execute the strategy of imposing heavy costs on China could profitably end up with killing two birds with one stone.

Rusia enfeebled, would be no strategic asset for China in Indo Pacific and China faced with a 'United Response and Determination' to impose heavy costs on China for its strategic delinquencies would be deterred from its predatory designs on its peripheries and South China Sea in IndoPacific.

Finally, would economic costs that would be inflicted on China be effective and work? They would work as China's economy is now sluggish, US & Western businesses are relocating from China and Foreign Direct Investment in China is drying up. In its wake, a domestic upheaval could be in the offing.

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INDO PACIFIC STRATEGIC GEOMETRIES AND BALANCE OF POWER IN 2024

The United States enjoyed a favorable Balance of Power during Cold War I when Russia was the prime threat in the Aia Pacific and in my assessment will continue to prevail in Cold War 2.0 when China has emerged as an unrestrained predatory power in the enlarged strategic construct of Indo Pacific.

During Cold War I, the United Staes security architecture rested on what was termed as 'Spokes & Hub' model of United States as the predominant power in the Pacific providing the 'Hub' and the 'Spokes' in the form of the US Bilateral Security Treaties with Japan, South Korea and the Philippines,

With US Forces deployed in Forward Military Postures in all these three countries, there existed a spider web of a security network.

Asia Pacific saw no respite from end of Cold War I and the disintegration of Soviet Union.

 Communist China with its exponential military expansion facilitated by United States distraction in Iraq and Afghanistan and US permissiveness on China's WMD proliferation emerged as a predatory power in Western Pacific and intent on prompting US military exit from Asia Pacific.

The emerging and burgeoning China Threat manifested in South China Sea, against Vietnam and the Philippines coupled with escalatory intimidation of Taiwan stimulated revised threat perceptions of China as the prime threat to the United States, US Allies and US Strategic Partners, newly bound together in face of China Threat manifested from India to Korean Peninsula.

Thus emerged the new and enlarged strategic concept of IndoPacific and United States enlarging the operational responsibilities of US Pacific Command with redesignation as US Indo Pacific Command.

 India was included as a Pivotal Power of the new US security architecture which now included the security of the Indian Ocean.

Cold War 2.0 onset had begun, and the United States realized that a new strategic template had to be devised to meet the Chia Threat. The United States took initiatives to forge a multilateral security network to be superimposed on its existing bilateral security treaties network.

In 2024, the enlarged security template in the Indo Pacific with different compositions but with a single aim of 'deterrence' on China's unrestrained aggressive moves revolves on newly devised "Strategic Trilaterals" which encompasses both Allies and strategic partners.

Indo Pacific's US-led 'Strategic Geometries" in 2024 incorporate the QUAD, AUKUS, ANZUS and a host of Staregic Trilaterals.

The newly crafted 'Strategic Trilaterals' include US-Japan -South Korea Trilateral; US-Japan-Australia Trilateral; and the US-Japan-Philippines Trilateral.

Since the China Threat mainly manifests in the maritime domains' multilateral naval exercises amongst the QUAD. AUKUS, ANZUS and the Trilaterals have increased, coupled with air forces and ground forces military exercises.

Opposing this formidable network of US-led 'Strategic Geometries' in the Indo Pacific, China can only boast of the Russia-China Axis and the China-Russia-North Korea Trilateral.

Comparing the overall military potential and geostrategic spread of US-led 'Strategic Geometries' against the limited opposing Chinese strategic security constructs, the overall Balance of Power in Indo Pacific can be assessed as resting squarely with the US-led security architecture, as visible in 2024.

Finally, when Balance of Power assessments are made it is pertinent to include all political, economic and military strengths besides history of cohesiveness and enduring record of Alliance/Strategic Partnerships. 

The United States, taking all of the above into account, has the Balance of Power strongly in its favor for the next few decades till such time Communist China disintegrates like the Soviet Union. In that aftermath also, the United States would reign supreme.

UNITED STATES COMMITTMENT TO GLOBAL STABILITY UNDER THREAT IN EUROPE AND INDO PACIFIC IN 2024-REFLECTIONS

Remembrance Day June 6th, 1944, celebrated on Normandy Beaches on French Northern Coast attended US President Biden and Heads of State of US Allies was a poignant reminder of the thousands. of US lives lost along with those of its Allies to roll back the German Invasion of Europe which commenced in September 1939.

United States commitment to Free & Open Europe and Global Stability manifested itself twice in the 20th Century in the First World War (1914-18) and the Second World War (1939-45).

In both cases United States was a late entrant when Free & Open Europe was seriously threatened by invasion of German Forces.

Similarly, in the Indo Pacific, US Forces fought Japanese Forces from Burma to Japan during Second World War. Soon after, US Forces were to fight and roll-back Chinese Communist armies which overran South Korea.

To those who have never visited the miles of War Cemetries of US Forces along with those of Britain and War Cemetries in Myanmar, Japan and South Korea, can never fathom the heavy cost of US lives sacrificed to ensure that Free & Open Societies flourished secure and stable.

Having visited all these War Cemetries during Battlefield Tour of Normandy Battlefields while attending the British Arm Staff College in 1970 and others as a military diplomat in Japan & South Korea, made me reflect that no other Nation in the world has paid such a heavy price in precious US lives lost in cause of global stability.

Fast forward to 2024, once again both in Europe and Indo Pacific, war-drums are beating noisily by Revisionist Totalitarian Powers.

In Europe, Ukraine stands devastated by the Russian Invasion for the last two years.

In Indo Pacific, Russia's Communist Ally China has made military predatory moves in a wide arc extending from India to Taiwan, Philippines and South China Sea.

In 2024, in a repeat of the war escalatory scenarios reminiscent of World War II, Global Democracies are belatedly engaged in debating as to how to meet the aggressions in Europe and in Indo Pacific.

Reflecting on all of the above, some major lessons of Second World War that are valid in the world of 2024 when the world is facing unbridled military recklessness in Europe and Indo Pacific, are briefly covered in the succeeding paragraphs. 

Chamberlainisque Approaches by Political Leaders of Democratic Countries ragainst Totalitarian Aggression Leads to Emboldenment of Aggressors

In the years preceding Second World War, the world's democratic societies watched helplessly as their political leaders hedged and dithered in facing Hitler's apparent signs to overrun Europe.

Democratic societies were paralyzed into inaction by British Prime Minister's infamous assertion "Peace at any cost in our times'.

What followed was six years of horrendous war with unprecedented devastation from Europe to Southeast Asia and Japan.

Fast forward to 2024, the world is again witnessing Russian Invasion of Ukraine and with threats to invade Poland and the Baltic Republics. Alarmingly, Russian President has threatened use of nuclear weapons

Indo Pacific in 2024 faces the prospects of China's propensity to use military force to change boundaries on its land and maritime boundaries stretching from India to Japan. China is engaged in possible invasion of Taiwan and possibly the Philippines.

The United States after years of 'China Hedging Strategies' and 'Risk Aversion' strategies has in 2024 belatedly realized that Chamberlainisque approaches to manage the China Threat has only "emboldened China" to believe that US Power is on decline.

In the process, the United States has last more than a decade of substantial war-preparedness against the China Threat.

Totalitarian Aggression Can Only be Met Squarely by Solid Alliances of DemocraticNations

The Second World War could not have been won by Britain or France alone. For that matter of fact, even the United States could not have alone won the War.

The War against Germany aided by Italy and Japan could be won only by a solid and integrated Alliance of Democratic Nations led by United States.

In 2024, the above lesson holds even more truer to confront the Russia-China Axis. Democratic Nations have to coalesce into effective military alliance led by United States political, economic and military might.

National Unity & National Cohesiveness an Imperative to Beat Back Totalitarian Aggression

The most significant malaise in Demotic Nations is that in pursuit of liberal ethos, democratic societies stumble overboard in letting anti-national elements sprouting in their societies, These, become vocal in peddling false narratives both due to domestic political compulsions and also under external influences,

What stands out in the history of Second World War was that amongst the US-led Allied Nations, all democracies, the highest of National Cohesiveness and National Unity stood shining bright.

Reflections Pertinent in 2024

As 'war clouds' hover over Europe and more prominently in the Indo Pacific, United States and its democratic Allies and its 'Democratic Strategic Partners' need urgently to clear their 'lens' on the mounting China Threat.

The China Threat since 2012 with the ascent of President Xi Jinping, and his garbing all the levers of state control, with ruthless extermination of even his Foreign Minister and Defence Minister has acquired 'Hitlerian Contours'.

When the above is coupled with China's historical propensity to use force to settle disputes and defy international conventions, the Global World Order and its Democratic Nations cannot become mute spectators.

The inevitability of World War III can only be averted once again by an alliance of global democracies led by United States with its global military presence standing up to the war scenarios inflicted by Russia in Europe and China in the Indo Pacific.

The United States has to rise to the challenges of both beating back once again 'Hitlerianism' shattering global stability and also the "divisiveness" being inflicted by them within America.

RUSSIA-CHINA STRATEGIC ALLIANCE CAN BE UNRAVELED BY UNITED STATES IN ONE DIPLOMATIC MASTERSTROKE

The Russia-China 'Strategic Alliance' which post-Ukraine invasion generates serious concerns from Europe to Indo Pacific in terms of disruptive potential can be unraveled by the United States in one diplomatic masterstroke with Nixonian contours.

Russia and China are not inseparable strategic "Siamese Twins" joined at the hip. They seemingly stand glued at the hip due to convergent 'siege mentality' fears that the United States is intent on dismantling both these gigantic Communist States.

Russia would never have moved into the Chinese strategic embrace but for US 'Cold War Gladiators' on Capitol Hill in Washington. Even after the disintegration of Former Soviet Union they persisted in viewing enfeebled Russia as a 'Critical Threat' to US security interests and global influence.

It needs to be recalled that Russian Foreign Minister Kozyrev in the 1990s termed Russia as the 'Natural Ally' of the US & West.

United States narcisstic obsession with China which had its roots in the 1930s and earlier, in United States 'Threat Assessments' on Russia overlooked the looming and threatening 'China Threat' whose central thrust in late 1990s was an exponential buildup of China's military power unnerved by Gulf War I and US Humanitarian Interventions in Serbia,

Realistic US diplomatic and strategic planning then should have dwelt on a 'Spectacular Reset' of United States Russia Policy.

But that was not to be. Instead of besieging Russia by a 'NATO Creep' towards Russia's borders and allaying Russian strategic fears, the United States continued vainly for two decades to assist China to integrate itself into the world order. China double-timed the United States all along.

US diplomatic miscalculations have inflicted heavy strategic and geopolitical on American national security, especially in the Indo Pacific.

United States by not resetting its Russia policy in the first two decades of the 21st Century is now faced in 2024 with a US-created "Predatory Monstrous China" which has ensnared a strategically helpless and US-isolated Russia.

Concluding, all is not lost for the United States. The United States needs to take the diplomatic initiative for a bold and substantive political reachout to Russia.

If the United States by a Nixonian masterstroke could wean away Communist China from the Former Soviet Union, the United States has the diplomatic skills and leverage in 2024 to wean away Russia from the China-embrace and unravel the Russia-China Axis.