Tuesday, May 4, 2021

CHINA'S PROPENSITY FOR DISRUPTIVE STRATEGIES TARGETTING INDO PACIFIC SECURITY IN FULL DISPLAY 2021

 China' s traditional propensity for inflicting its disruptive strategies targetting Indo Pacific security has been in full display in 2021, more noticeably in the last two months, when it became apparent to China that the United Sates under new President Joe Biden is in no mood to deviate from outgoing Trump Administration's 'Hard Line'policies on China.

China's bid to disrupt Indo Pacific security currently is in full operation.

Most noticeably, China has put into full operation its military provocative activities against Taiwan whose spitited defiance of China's threats to effect Taiwan's unification with Mainland China by military force is not bearing fruit. In 2021, Taiwan emerges as the most explosive conflictual flash-point between China and he UnitedStates.

 China has ratcheted tensions with its military coercive military activities around Japan's Senkaku Islands, nuclear submarines prowling in seas around Japan and combat air patrols over Sea of Japan.

Philippines islands/reefs claimed by China  as its own have been surrounded by swarms of Chinese ships which China claims are fishing vessels.

Vietnam is also under similar coercion  pressure of Chinese military activities around Vietnamese islands claimed by China.

China after its unilateral willingness to disengage from military confrontation with India in Eastern Ladakh has now after initial reasonableness has dug in its heels for more substantial disengagement to keep threshold of armed conflict low.China is stalling military & diplomatic ongoing dialogues.

What is China aiming at? Does China feel that it can militarily get the better of the United States in any potential conflict or get the better of the evolving QUAD grouping? Does China feel that it can drive wedges between the United States and Japan and India?

China's main aim is not to get into full blown military conflict with the United States and its Allies nor does China want to get into full blown military conflicts with Japan or India. China is aware that such full blown military conflicts will disrupt Chinese economic  growth and further has prospects of a wider military conflagration to China's military disadvantage.

China's major aim of inflicting disruptive strategies on Indo Pacific security is to 'Win the Battle of Perceptions'  where China while keeping the military conflictual 'presure cooker' simmering gets away by geopolitically and strategically denting United States image in Indo Pacific capitals as still engaged in 'Risk Aversion' policies and incapable of effective retaliation against China's disruptive strategies.

China thus believes that it can perpetuate the perception that the United States is a "Power on he Decline."




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