CHINA AND UNITED STATES CONVERGENT AIMS TO STRATEGICALLY CHECKMATE INDIA AT HEIGHT OF 'OP-SINDOOR' STRIKES ON PAKISTAN MAY 2025

Perceptually, China and United States betrayed their strategies of strategically checkmating India at the height of India's massive and decisive Indian Air Force counterstrikes on Pakistan air bases in retaliation for Pakistan escalating the conflict in early May 2025. 

India's OP-SINDOOR aerial strikes included damage to Pakistan Sargodha and Chaklala Air Bases which are Pakistan's nuclear weapons storage sites and Nuclear Command Authority.

China and United States may have different strategic reasons for checkmating India but their convergence to save Pakistan's strategic assets was glaringly out in the open. It is futile for Indian policy and strategic establishment to be in a state of denial that China is 'India's Enemy Number ONE' and uses Pakistan as a Chinese strategic force-multiplier against India.

So, China while adopting the optical strategy of advising' restraint' to both Pakistan and India, indulged in rushing military aid during the conflict.

But what was surprising and disappointing for India was the United States displaying convergent strategies with China in checkmating India. The United States disparaging remarks by US President Trump at the height of OP- SINDOOR strikes by India were damaging to future course of United States relations with India.

While the Modi Government has maintained a dignified silence on the subject of President Trump's uninvited and unwarranted claims of having 'mediated' a ceasefire between India and Pakistan, but Indian PM Modi publicly asserted for record that the United States had played no role in putting a ceasefire in effect.

It was Pakistan that ran to Washington seeking US help for a ceasefire. India rightly asserted that Pakistan route its 'ceasefire readiness through Pakistan Army DGMO on the 'Hot Line'.

One needs to dwell more on US President Trump's unwarranted assertions of drawing 'Strategic Equivalence' between India and Pakistan and equating the global stature of Indian P M Modi with PM Shahbaz Sharif of Pakistan which is in a mere  'Concubinage Relationship' with China.

President Trump has seemingly reverted US policy formulations on India to the 1990's when the United States 'Hyphenated' India and Pakistan in its approaches to the Indian Subcontinent.

Worse, many would not recall that in the US National Strategy Documents of that time, the United States asserted that it is the policy of United States 'To Prevent Emergence of Regional Hegemonistic States like China and India'.

Does the United States in 2025 perceives India as an 'Emergent Power' as having hegemonistic designs? 

Concluding, contextually, the United States has to publicly assert its perceptions on India post-OP SINDOOR. US President Trump has sowed misgivings and resentment in India by his callous and careless remarks on 'Strategic Equivalence' between India and Pakistan.

INDIA'S MAGNIFICENT BLITZKRIEG 'OP SINDOOR' MILITARY OPERATIONS (MAY25,2025 REDUCES PAKISTAN TO BEG FOR CEASEFIRE: GEOPOLITICAL IMPACT

India in a spectacular display of its Will to Use Power to uphold India's National Honour last week (May 7-10,2025) reduced Pakistan to beg for a ceasefire after India rapidly switched from its Limited War aims of 'Eliminating Pakistan's Proxy War Terrorism Capabilities' to the larger Strategic Aim of "Incapacitating Pakistan Army's War Waging Capabilities'.

India could achieve these War Aims within 72 hours of launching military offensives. India could achieve these remarkable decisive military victories with a rare combination of indomitable political leadership of PM Narendra Modi, his full faith in the synergy of integrated high-tech operations of Indian Army, Indian Navy and Indian Air Force, and more significantly by India's fast track War Preparedness in overdrive ever since 2014 when Modi Regime commenced.

The Indian media, both TV and print, carry exhaustive analyses of OP SINDOOR military operations against Pakistan. It is not the intention to repeat those details here.

What is being focused on in this Analysis is the geopolitical impact of India's unprecedented strategy and capability to conduct strategic blitzkrieg high-tech military offensives.

The above display of India's Will to Use Power and to 'Strike Deep' in Pakistan's Heartland of Pakistan Punjab and calling-off Pakistan's 'Nuclear Blackmail' has generated 'strategic ripples in United States, China and Russia.

All these three Major Powers will now have to study and analyze India's "Modi Doctrine" to recalibrate their strategic formulations on India's 'Power Trajectory'.

India's Prime Mimister Narendra Modi Enunciates "Modi Dctrine" in Strident Tones

In his Address to The Nation on May 12, 2025 after India's magnificent victory over Pakistan, PM Narendra Modi enunciated what can be termed as India's Monroe Doctrine.

 "Modi Doctrine" enunciates (1) India will strike back decisively at any acts of Terrorism attacks targeting India. (2) Terrorism acts against India will be deemed as 'Act of War' (3) India will also attack Countries/ Organizations facilitating Terrorist Attacks against India (4) India WILL NOT SUBMIT TO NUCLEAR BLACKMAIL from any quarter.

India Will Not Accept any Interference/Mediation on Any Aggresion by Pakistan.

PM Modi extending his Modi Doctrine also ruled out any mediation by Third Parties on issues bedeviling Pakistan's military confrontation against India.

Kashmir is a 'Non-Issue' for any external mediation. The only issue for India in this regard is Pakistan's vacation of its illegal occupation of Pakistan Occupied Kashmir.

United States Needs More Prudence on Making Demands & Assertions on India

US President Trump in the 72 hours of India's decisive and battering strikes on Pakistan Air Force Bases and infrastructure displayed geopolitical callousness with his unwarranted assertions.

Initially supporting India's right to strike at Pakistan's Proxy Terrorism infrastructure, US President Trump suddenly reversed gears when Indian Air Force strikes hit Pakistan's nuclear-related air bases.

This leads me to question United States strategic motives. Does United States have a vested interest in keeping Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons Arsenal intact and alive? Does this United States aim is an insurance to arrest India's rising Power Trajectory?

Further, US President Trump's callous political assertions drawing "Equivalence" between Indian PM Narendra Modi Sharif and Pakistani PM Shahbaz Sharif have incensed Indians.

PM Modi has evidently put United States on notice when he publicly refuted claims by President Trump that he mediated the ceasefire and that he is ready to mediate on Kashmir.

Post-OP SINDOOR , the United States will have to reset its political outlook. India will not accept any "Hyphenation" of India-Pak relations.

China Significamtly Impacted  by Indiia's 'Modi Doctrine & Failure of Chinese Advanced Weapons Systems Supplied to Pakistan

While United States has suffered perceptional losses by callous observations by US President, it is China which has been grievously impacted by India reducing Pakistan to its kness militarily within 72 hours.

The highly mythicized Chian-Pakistan Axis did not come into play in Pakistan's favor even when Indian Air Force Strikes virtually were hammering Pakistan Air Force Bases related to China-aided Pakistan's nuclear strike capabilities against India.

Pakistan's 82% Chinese military inventories of Chinese Air Defense Systems and advanced Chinese Fighter Aircraft could not stop Indian Air Force strikes including Sargodha and Chaklala, the heart of Pakistan's nuclear strike capabilities.

The second count of concern for China is India's demonstrated strategic strike capabilities deep within enemy territory, 'This coming after Dokalam and Galwan would keep Chinese military planners busy.

Whether China will reset India-policies or persist in reinforcing its geopolitical losses by overactive rearming of Pakistan Army will soon unfold.

Russia Seems to Have Played its Cards Well as India's OP SINDOOR  Offensives Were Underway

Russia made perceptional gains in India during the ongoing Pakistan's military confrontation with India. By its unambiguous support to India as opposed to United Staes meddlesome assertions during last week's India's offensives, Indian esteem for Russia has gone up.

The above needs to be seen in context of Russia being a strategically of China on the global stage.

India's spectacular military victories over Pakistan were enabled by Russian S 400 Air Defence Missiles which formed the backbone of India's defense grid, and which Pakistan could not penetrate by its advanced Chinese Fighter Aircraft even by firing its FATH Tactical Ballistic Missile aimed at New Delhi.

Russia is the only Major Power which has made geopolitical gains during the present War 

Israel and France Continue to be India's Reliable Statrtegic Partners.

Israeli anti-drone systems and French Rafale fighters and other missiles played a big part in India's strident 72 -hour victory over Pakistan.

Geopolitically, India should expand further its defense and security cooperation with France and Israel as it revamps its military machine after lesions drawn from this War.

Concluding Observations

India has undoubtedly emerged as the Regional Power in South Asia with demonstrated military prowess of striking swiftly and with devastating precision deep into Pakistan's Heartland,

United States and China would be well-advised to reset their strategic formulations on India's military rise as a Major Power capable of calling-off Nuclear Blackmail of its adversaries.

The "Modi Doctrine" should be seriously taken notice of by all Major Powers who should not interfere with India's 'natural balance f power 'in South Asia as the predominant power in the Indian Subcontinent.

 

  

INDIA'S STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES 2025 DICTATE COMPLETE INCAPACITATION OF PAKISTAN ARMY NOT MERELY DETERRENCE

India has reached a strategic tipping point in May 2025 wherein in wake of horrific Pahalgam Massacre of targeted 26 Hindu-killings bearing signature of Pakistan Army proxies' handiwork, it should be abundantly clear that India's earlier 'Deterrent Strategies' are no longer effective. 

India's strategic imperatives in May 2025 therefore now dictate a switch-over from 'Deterrence' to 'Complete Incapacitation of Pakistan Army' as the overriding aim of the Indian State. 

'Complete Incapacitation of Pakistan Army needs to be achieved by a comprehensive blueprint combining diplomatic and economic degradation of Pakistan followed by a final devastatingly crippling kinetic operations inflicted on Pakistan Army with full force of India's predominant military might.

India's PM Modi-led Government seems already on the above trajectory. Diplomatic Isolation of Pakistan with renewed vigor is already under way. 

 War by Economic Means has been applied by Modi Government on an unprecedented scale against Pakistan in terms of banning all trade with Pakistan and closure of Indian ports to Pakistani shipping.

 For the first time in India's political history, the Modi Government has suspended the Indus Water Treaty and stopped the flow of waters to Pakistan. This use of the 'water weapon' is having a devastating effect on Pakistan.

Pakistan and Pakistan Army is on a 'suspenseful edge' unable to decipher when India will strike with its full kinetic military force of all its three Services. This psychological attrition is weighing down heavily on the Pakistan Army which in tandem is internally besieged in Baluchistan by the armed attacks of Baluchistan Freedom Front. 

Pakistan's Western Front today is militarily besieged both in Baluchistan and Taliban Afghanistan incensed by expulsion of over a million Afghans living in Pakistan for decades.

Militarily, the picture is grim for Pakistan Army with both its Western and Eastern Fronts besieged and the prospects of an Indian Navy blockade of Karachi.

Within India too, Indian public opinion is clamoring for decisive military action against Pakistan Army to put an end to its proxy terrorism against India by Islamic Jihadi terrorist groups financed, armed and facilitated by Pakistan Army's ISI.

'Complete Incapacitation' of the Pakistan Army and defanging its missiles arsenal has now emerged in May 2025 as the overriding strategic imperative of India's Modi Government which has never shied away from robust military actions against India's enemies.

Of course, Pakistan will retaliate with military desperation inflicting damages on India too. But that has to be accepted if Pakistan Army as a potent threat to India's National Security is to be achieved. India has already put into operation Civil Defence measures. 

Now the big question is when India will apply its kinetic military force with full crippling force? 

Or is India awaiting Pakistan Army to undertake preemptive strikes on India to shift the onus of war on Pakistan Army?

Whatever be the case, the Fifth War with Pakistan is underway. The question is not 'if' but 'when'?

Concluding, this should be applied sequentially when India's 'War by Economic Means' is fully in 'Overdrive' inducing public unrest in Punjab and divisive fissures in Pakistan's polity and Pakistan Army. Indicators ae so emerging.

The overall aim should be to CRIPPLE PAKISTAN ARMY & ITS MILITARY ADVENTURISM!!! 

PAKISTAN'S STRATEGY OF ENLISTING MAJOR POWERS COUNTERVAILENCE AGAINST INDIA GEOPOLITICALLY INOPERATIVE IN 2025

Pakistan ever since its emergence as an independent nation with Partition of the Indian Subcontinent in 1947 by outgoing British colonial rulers has persistently confronted India militarily, adopting a strategy of enlisting "Major Powers Countervailence" geopolitical weightage.

This geopolitical weightage carried an element of 'poetical permissiveness' which enabled Pakistan to indulge in repeated wars against India coupled with Pakistan Army sponsored Islamic Jihadi terrorism against India.

Seventy-five years down the line since 1947, is a good enough timespan to objectively analyze whether Pakistan 's adoption of "Major Powers Countervailence Strategy" has enabled Pakistan to reap strategic dividends against India.

Pakistan sequentially banked in terms of Countervailing Power on Britain, the United States and then finally on Communist China. There were however overlaps amongst the Major Powers in providing countervailing power e.g. the convergence of United States and China in supporting Pakistan jointly. during the 1990s and till quite lately.

Pakistan's "Major Powers Countervailence Strategy" has failed as geopolitical realities in 2025 would indicate. The United States is today locked in a robust Global Strategic Partnership with India, China though continuing in military confrontation with India is politically reaching out to India since Galwan 2020 and  moreso now with Trump2:0 advent in United States and Britain does not count much.

Pakistan in 2025 presents the political picture of a 

'Dysfunctional State' tottering politically and economically. Chiefly, this arises from the economic costs of its unremitting military confrontation with India.

United States in earlier decades and China's ongoing heavy military support to Pakistan was corelated to their geopolitical objectives at a given point of time and not unlimited. 

 

Strategically ironic for Pakistan is that despite sizeable US military rearmament and China's buildup of Pakistan's nuclear and missiles arsenal, Pakistan could not militarily get the better of India in all the Wars that it launched in 1948, 1965, 1971 & 19999.

Pakistan however has refused to learn or strategically ignore the bitter lessons that passage of time has thrust on it. 

The megalomanic egos of Pakistan Army Chiefs and its Collegium of Corps Commanders empowered by possession of nuclear weapons has put them in a military trance that India is powerless in launching crippling military strikes against Pakistan.

The latest terrorism attack in Pahalgam in Kashmir Valley inflicted by Islamic Jihadi terrorists' affiliates of Pakistan Army resulting in loss of 30 Hindu lives should mark a 'Turning Point' for India to strike military blows to destroy Pakistan Army's military adventurism against India.

Lastly, The geopolitical environment in 2025   is in India's favor ruling out any significant provision of United States or China's "Countervailence Support" for Pakistan against India, should India militarily strike Pakistan Army and its infrastructure.

India should follow the Israeli maxim: 'When you have to strike the enemy, then strike hard with full crippling force'.

    

 and China

UNITED STATES AND CHINA LOCKED IN STEEP ESCALATORY CONFRONTATION APRIL 2025: THE ENDGAME?

 Communist China has long figured as a 'Prime Threat' in US strategic planning but a veneer of respectability and a halo of "Superpower-in-Making' was endowed by United States compelled by its 'Risk Aversion' strategy determined by then prevailing geopolitical imperatives.

The United States under both preceding US Administrations of Trump 1:0 and Biden Administration had switched over to 'Hard Line' policies against China in view of China escalating military tensions in Indo Pacific and the Dual Threat posed by the Russia-China Axis.

Contemporary global geopolitics in 2025 in Trump 2:0 era seems to have convinced President Trump to stop China from further undermining of US security and economic interests on realization of failure pf his 'Reverse Nixon' strategy with Russia

 In mid-2025, Communist China is facing a virtual existential crisis alongside with questions surfacing of the continuance in power of President Xi Jinping and the Communist Party. 

The above eventuality becomes analytically logical when China's backdrop of current bleak economic prospects coupled with growing political discontent against President Xi Jinping, indicated by uninterrupted purges of military hierarchy and CCP functionaries, are calculated. 

President Trump in April 2025 has struck Communist China with a massive Trade/Tariffs Wars sledgehammer blow at a time when China is engulfed in a critical economic crisis struggling with deflation, rising unemployment and flight of capital coupled with political dissent.

Contextually, with both the United States and China having adopted hardened policy trajectories, escalating by the day, the critical question that emerges is 'Who Will Blink First' to exit from the escalatory loop? United States or Russia? Further, what is United States endgame?

China had prepared itself for an intensified Trade War with President Trump 2:0, going by Trump 1:0 Trade War policies. But the scale of US intensification of imposing massive Tariffs swiftly may not have been foreseen by China.

Many policy analysts opine that President Trump's present economic offensive against China is a part of his 'bluff and bluster' strategy and that the US President will resile from this hard approach once China strikes a 'Deal' with United States on US terms.

In global geopolitics and geoeconomics many 'Grey Areas' are operative. Discounting them, the analysis gets confined to examining the basic factors of 'Intentions' and 'Relative Strengths' of China and the United States against the given backdrop of unfolding geopolitical dynamics.

On these two counts, today China is on a weaker wicket than the United States.

China can whip up 'Hyper Nationalism' sentiments against United States and resort to military escalation in Indo Pacific to offset President Trump's 'Economic Coercion' but presently President Xi Jinping's political existence is threatened, judging by his repeated purges of Chinese military hierarchy.

The United States is apparently prepared for the above eventuality going by recent US military moves in Western Pacific. 

If the odds are in favor of the United States and China is on a weaker wicket, then it is fair to assume that China could expectedly blink first by offering a partial' Sweet Deal' to President Trump.

Ongoing Chinese retaliatory economic strikes against United States and vocal assertions by President Xi Jinping suggest to the contrary.

China too is hardening its confrontational stances in near equal measure. Obviously, because the very political existence of President Xi Jinping in power in Beijing is at stake.

What is then the 'End Game' of the United States against Communist China and its President Xi Jinping? 

Logical analysis would suggest that with China's ongoing economic and strategic vulnerabilities the US endgame is to bring about the demise of Communist China and its all too powerful President Xi Jinping. 

That is the only way in which the United States can neutralize the 'China Threat' actively operative against the United States since 2001 and proactively since 2013 with President Xi Jinping becoming President.

Wishful thinking? Not really. Historical precent exists.

The United States brought about the disintegration of the mighty Communist Superpower--the Soviet Union, by first inflicting an 'Arms Race' (Reagan Years and thereafter) and then struck the final blow by economically pulling the rug from under an economically vulnerable USSR President Gorbachev. Rest is history.

While the United States may have recently brought about discordant notes with its Allies in Europe and Pacific, the nuances may have changed, but the overall value of US Alliance relationship will endure and be operative in the final showdown with China.

China has no "Natural Allies" to boast of. Ironic, because North Korea has gravitated to Russia and Pakistan is wooing United Stat.

China is at critical crossroads where whatever steps China takes either to exit the 'Escalatory Loop' with the United States. or gamble by imposing an armed conflict in Western Pacific, CHINA DOES NOT SEEM TO HAVE ANY 'WIIN /WIN OPTIONS!!